The Liberals are leading the Conservatives in at least two major polls

The first polls since the start of the Canadian election campaign reveal a clear lead for Mark Carney, the new leader of the Liberal Party.

This reversal is notable, given that Conservatives dominated voting intentions only a few weeks ago.

The latest Léger poll, conducted at the beginning of the official campaign between March 21 and 23, revealed that the Liberals were 6 points ahead of the Conservatives. The latter obtained 38%, while the Liberal Party garnered 44% of voting intentions.

The latest Léger poll showed a continuous increase for the Liberal Party, which was at 42% last week after taking the lead in the polls.

Just two weeks ago, the same Léger poll showed a tie between the Liberals and the Conservatives, the latter at 37%.

Before Justin Trudeau’s resignation as leader of the Liberal Party, the Liberals were, still according to Léger, getting only 21% of voting intentions versus 47% for Pierre Poilievre and the CPC.

According to the Angus Reid Institute, Marc Carney and the Liberals were now at the top of their polls with 46% of voting intentions, 8 points ahead of Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives with 38%.

Angus polls conducted every week between February 17 and March 3 showed the Conservatives with a slight 2-point lead, at 40%, while the Liberals obtained 37% of voting intentions.

Last January 23, the Angus Reid Institute placed the Conservative Party in the lead with 43%, versus 29% for the Liberals, thus illustrating an incredible turnaround in favor of the Liberals among Canadian voters.

Polls show that it’s not just the Conservatives who are experiencing a drop in voting intentions. According to Angus Reid polls, the NDP, which was at 13% of voting intentions on January 27, is now at 7%. For its part, the Bloc Québécois currently holds 6% of the vote. The majority of voters who left the NDP are turning to the Liberals.

The election campaign still being in its early stages, and it will be very interesting to follow the evolution of these trends as the vote approaches, scheduled for April 28th in Canada.